About the Horizon Case
Open the Horizon Case for free (released 2018) using the real item pool and Valve's published drop odds. Pick the Horizon Case in the simulator above, spin a single case or bulk-open hundreds, and see what you would really pull: AK-47 | Neon Rider and Desert Eagle | Code Red at Covert, and Navaja Knife, Stiletto Knife, Talon Knife, Ursus Knife as the Rare Special Item. Nothing costs money and nothing is rigged.
What's inside the Horizon Case
Indicative Steam market prices across wears (Factory New to Battle-Scarred), updated 2026-10-03. StatTrak versions are worth more.
| Rarity | Item | Price range |
|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web | $359.03 to $1,800.00 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened | $422.84 to $1,380.00 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Fade | $1,086.75 to $1,131.74 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web | $180.57 to $986.48 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Slaughter | $723.75 to $934.02 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel | $452.66 to $807.17 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web | $159.55 to $799.37 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened | $264.90 to $714.24 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter | $420.50 to $551.94 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe | $226.71 to $547.86 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Fade | $539.71 to $544.78 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Stained | $333.05 to $537.68 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked | $178.10 to $489.72 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked | $280.21 to $463.98 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel | $237.71 to $462.62 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest | $247.88 to $419.40 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | $399.73 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe | $170.80 to $379.75 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh | $240.00 to $366.35 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh | $153.18 to $345.00 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Scorched | $261.45 to $338.33 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web | $67.82 to $333.50 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Fade | $237.42 to $329.51 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched | $173.08 to $327.10 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked | $73.59 to $300.00 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened | $130.97 to $277.80 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Stained | $215.00 to $269.44 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT | $45.00 to $262.35 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | $240.51 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe | $73.01 to $221.42 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel | $56.98 to $220.38 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter | $190.67 to $214.95 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest | $150.70 to $212.75 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel | $96.84 to $187.98 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT | $150.98 to $182.34 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened | $78.13 to $165.75 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT | $65.96 to $156.98 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Fade | $127.50 to $150.94 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Stained | $81.86 to $148.09 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked | $46.49 to $145.63 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest | $44.11 to $140.30 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched | $71.70 to $138.43 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Scorched | $45.25 to $128.80 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest | $63.31 to $127.76 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh | $42.21 to $117.83 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter | $99.78 to $114.30 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Stained | $49.29 to $113.05 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe | $43.52 to $108.98 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh | $55.50 to $107.50 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Ursus Knife | $94.37 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT | $44.08 to $74.75 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Navaja Knife | $50.38 |
| Covert (red) | AK-47 | Neon Rider | $49.46 to $288.63 |
| Covert (red) | Desert Eagle | Code Red | $49.02 to $215.07 |
| Classified (pink) | M4A1-S | Nightmare | $7.92 to $303.80 |
| Classified (pink) | FAMAS | Eye of Athena | $5.64 to $40.94 |
| Classified (pink) | Sawed-Off | Devourer | $5.24 to $22.56 |
| Restricted (purple) | Nova | Toy Soldier | $0.89 to $18.52 |
| Restricted (purple) | CZ75-Auto | Eco | $0.93 to $16.28 |
| Restricted (purple) | G3SG1 | High Seas | $1.12 to $14.46 |
| Restricted (purple) | MP7 | Powercore | $1.06 to $14.19 |
| Restricted (purple) | AWP | PAW | $2.62 to $8.79 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | Glock-18 | Warhawk | $0.44 to $7.41 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | Tec-9 | Snek-9 | $0.38 to $5.43 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | P90 | Traction | $0.51 to $2.47 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | AUG | Amber Slipstream | $0.49 to $2.14 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | R8 Revolver | Survivalist | $0.38 to $1.56 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | MP9 | Capillary | $0.39 to $1.40 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | Dual Berettas | Shred | $0.41 to $1.01 |
Horizon Case drop odds
These are Valve's official CS2 case odds, used for every open in the simulator:
| Rarity | Chance per open | Items in this case |
|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.92% | 7 |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.98% | 5 |
| Classified (pink) | 3.20% | 3 |
| Covert (red) | 0.64% | 2 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | 0.26% | 52 |
Is the Horizon Case worth opening?
Opening one Horizon Case costs about $4.64: $2.14 for the case plus $2.50 for the key. Weighting every item by its real drop chance, wear and the 10% StatTrak chance, the expected value of one open is about $2.56, or roughly 55% of what you spend. Over 100 opens that is an expected loss of around $207.51. Almost all of the value sits in the Covert and knife slots, which together land on just 0.90% of opens, so most real openings return far less than the average. That is why trying it in the simulator first is the smart move.
Horizon Case FAQ
What are the odds of getting a knife from the Horizon Case?
Every Horizon Case open has a 0.26% chance (about 1 in 385) of a Rare Special Item. In this case that means Navaja Knife, Stiletto Knife, Talon Knife, Ursus Knife. Covert skins drop 0.64% of the time, Classified 3.20%, Restricted 15.98% and Mil-Spec 79.92%.
Is the Horizon Case worth opening?
On average one Horizon Case returns about $2.56 in Steam market value against roughly $4.64 for the case plus a key, about 55% back. Over many opens you should expect to lose money; open it for fun in the simulator first.
What is the best item in the Horizon Case?
The top Covert skin is AK-47 | Neon Rider, followed by Desert Eagle | Code Red. The rarest drops are the Rare Special Items: Navaja Knife, Stiletto Knife, Talon Knife, Ursus Knife.
Is this Horizon Case simulator free?
Yes. The simulator is free, needs no account and never uses real money or awards real items. It uses the real Horizon Case item pool and Valve's published odds so you can see how opening it really plays out.
Simulate related cases
Ready for real cases?
When the demo is not enough, open real CS2 cases on CaseBattles.gg with provably fair results you can verify, or take on other players in case battles. 18+ only, play responsibly.