About the Falchion Case
Open the Falchion Case for free (released 2015) using the real item pool and Valve's published drop odds. Pick the Falchion Case in the simulator above, spin a single case or bulk-open hundreds, and see what you would really pull: AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge and AWP | Hyper Beast at Covert, and Falchion Knife as the Rare Special Item. Nothing costs money and nothing is rigged.
What's inside the Falchion Case
Indicative Steam market prices across wears (Factory New to Battle-Scarred), updated 2026-10-03. StatTrak versions are worth more.
| Rarity | Item | Price range |
|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web | $126.74 to $1,149.99 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened | $186.27 to $434.42 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel | $139.79 to $356.93 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Night | $75.67 to $312.41 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter | $245.74 to $302.67 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Fade | $250.00 to $288.16 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Stained | $89.68 to $194.76 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked | $81.58 to $161.00 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest | $67.09 to $140.96 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | $137.84 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh | $65.52 to $134.10 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched | $67.10 to $115.00 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT | $67.98 to $97.78 |
| Covert (red) | AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge | $33.23 to $233.21 |
| Covert (red) | AWP | Hyper Beast | $34.42 to $194.72 |
| Classified (pink) | MP7 | Nemesis | $7.61 to $30.01 |
| Classified (pink) | SG 553 | Cyrex | $4.71 to $29.12 |
| Classified (pink) | CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket | $4.55 to $28.51 |
| Restricted (purple) | P2000 | Handgun | $0.85 to $20.48 |
| Restricted (purple) | Negev | Loudmouth | $1.12 to $12.48 |
| Restricted (purple) | M4A4 | Evil Daimyo | $3.49 to $10.91 |
| Restricted (purple) | FAMAS | Neural Net | $1.09 to $7.82 |
| Restricted (purple) | MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart | $1.42 to $6.76 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | Galil AR | Rocket Pop | $0.85 to $10.66 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner | $1.02 to $5.79 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | USP-S | Torque | $0.91 to $2.06 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | P90 | Elite Build | $0.37 to $1.96 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | Nova | Ranger | $0.41 to $1.75 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | UMP-45 | Riot | $0.68 to $1.05 |
Falchion Case drop odds
These are Valve's official CS2 case odds, used for every open in the simulator:
| Rarity | Chance per open | Items in this case |
|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.92% | 6 |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.98% | 5 |
| Classified (pink) | 3.20% | 3 |
| Covert (red) | 0.64% | 2 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | 0.26% | 13 |
Is the Falchion Case worth opening?
Opening one Falchion Case costs about $4.74: $2.24 for the case plus $2.50 for the key. Weighting every item by its real drop chance, wear and the 10% StatTrak chance, the expected value of one open is about $2.42, or roughly 51% of what you spend. Over 100 opens that is an expected loss of around $231.83. Almost all of the value sits in the Covert and knife slots, which together land on just 0.90% of opens, so most real openings return far less than the average. That is why trying it in the simulator first is the smart move.
Falchion Case FAQ
What are the odds of getting a knife from the Falchion Case?
Every Falchion Case open has a 0.26% chance (about 1 in 385) of a Rare Special Item. In this case that means Falchion Knife. Covert skins drop 0.64% of the time, Classified 3.20%, Restricted 15.98% and Mil-Spec 79.92%.
Is the Falchion Case worth opening?
On average one Falchion Case returns about $2.42 in Steam market value against roughly $4.74 for the case plus a key, about 51% back. Over many opens you should expect to lose money; open it for fun in the simulator first.
What is the best item in the Falchion Case?
The top Covert skin is AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge, followed by AWP | Hyper Beast. The rarest drops are the Rare Special Items: Falchion Knife.
Is this Falchion Case simulator free?
Yes. The simulator is free, needs no account and never uses real money or awards real items. It uses the real Falchion Case item pool and Valve's published odds so you can see how opening it really plays out.
Simulate related cases
Ready for real cases?
When the demo is not enough, open real CS2 cases on CaseBattles.gg with provably fair results you can verify, or take on other players in case battles. 18+ only, play responsibly.