About the Fracture Case
Open the Fracture Case for free (released 2020) using the real item pool and Valve's published drop odds. Pick the Fracture Case in the simulator above, spin a single case or bulk-open hundreds, and see what you would really pull: Desert Eagle | Printstream and AK-47 | Legion of Anubis at Covert, and Nomad Knife, Paracord Knife, Skeleton Knife, Survival Knife as the Rare Special Item. Nothing costs money and nothing is rigged.
What's inside the Fracture Case
Indicative Steam market prices across wears (Factory New to Battle-Scarred), updated 2026-10-03. StatTrak versions are worth more.
| Rarity | Item | Price range |
|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web | $95.68 to $1,531.20 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web | $272.35 to $1,214.76 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web | $166.06 to $808.45 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Fade | $668.67 to $697.40 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web | $96.37 to $579.01 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter | $450.00 to $566.12 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel | $251.08 to $504.98 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened | $1.52 to $442.58 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened | $179.52 to $408.05 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe | $176.90 to $375.26 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Stained | $189.25 to $368.00 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Fade | $341.96 to $363.43 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked | $156.50 to $350.15 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh | $141.53 to $308.50 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter | $272.11 to $303.37 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel | $157.09 to $293.82 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | $276.82 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Fade | $181.87 to $266.19 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened | $110.36 to $261.98 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest | $141.69 to $255.25 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT | $135.27 to $254.48 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked | $108.47 to $249.22 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Scorched | $99.12 to $240.50 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched | $139.32 to $233.49 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Stained | $134.08 to $229.40 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Fade | $169.94 to $222.79 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened | $104.82 to $210.00 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe | $55.59 to $202.05 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter | $148.45 to $177.69 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT | $89.42 to $172.97 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest | $48.09 to $170.20 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh | $87.45 to $164.63 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel | $74.67 to $164.38 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel | $86.48 to $163.57 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | $160.71 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Slaughter | $142.75 to $147.17 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest | $93.05 to $143.64 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Scorched | $51.29 to $134.73 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Scorched | $52.06 to $129.51 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe | $24.49 to $124.73 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked | $57.82 to $120.75 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked | $58.18 to $120.08 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT | $50.58 to $120.02 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Stained | $59.99 to $113.55 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe | $54.83 to $109.09 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Stained | $60.75 to $108.63 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest | $51.37 to $102.00 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh | $45.62 to $98.53 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT | $48.15 to $81.46 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh | $48.59 to $78.29 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Paracord Knife | $62.55 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | ★ Survival Knife | $61.20 |
| Covert (red) | Desert Eagle | Printstream | $39.97 to $93.19 |
| Covert (red) | AK-47 | Legion of Anubis | $39.42 to $70.93 |
| Classified (pink) | M4A4 | Tooth Fairy | $4.29 to $16.98 |
| Classified (pink) | Glock-18 | Vogue | $4.29 to $14.40 |
| Classified (pink) | XM1014 | Entombed | $4.32 to $7.81 |
| Restricted (purple) | MAG-7 | Monster Call | $0.48 to $4.54 |
| Restricted (purple) | Tec-9 | Brother | $0.48 to $4.15 |
| Restricted (purple) | MAC-10 | Allure | $0.48 to $3.91 |
| Restricted (purple) | Galil AR | Connexion | $0.51 to $2.66 |
| Restricted (purple) | MP5-SD | Kitbash | $0.48 to $2.27 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | P2000 | Gnarled | $0.11 to $0.93 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 | $0.11 to $0.91 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | PP-Bizon | Runic | $0.10 to $0.90 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | P90 | Freight | $0.10 to $0.79 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | Negev | Ultralight | $0.10 to $0.48 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | P250 | Cassette | $0.13 to $0.42 |
| Mil-Spec (blue) | SG 553 | Ol' Rusty | $0.11 to $0.39 |
Fracture Case drop odds
These are Valve's official CS2 case odds, used for every open in the simulator:
| Rarity | Chance per open | Items in this case |
|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.92% | 7 |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.98% | 5 |
| Classified (pink) | 3.20% | 3 |
| Covert (red) | 0.64% | 2 |
| Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) | 0.26% | 52 |
Is the Fracture Case worth opening?
Opening one Fracture Case costs about $3.15: $0.65 for the case plus $2.50 for the key. Weighting every item by its real drop chance, wear and the 10% StatTrak chance, the expected value of one open is about $1.15, or roughly 37% of what you spend. Over 100 opens that is an expected loss of around $199.81. Almost all of the value sits in the Covert and knife slots, which together land on just 0.90% of opens, so most real openings return far less than the average. That is why trying it in the simulator first is the smart move.
Fracture Case FAQ
What are the odds of getting a knife from the Fracture Case?
Every Fracture Case open has a 0.26% chance (about 1 in 385) of a Rare Special Item. In this case that means Nomad Knife, Paracord Knife, Skeleton Knife, Survival Knife. Covert skins drop 0.64% of the time, Classified 3.20%, Restricted 15.98% and Mil-Spec 79.92%.
Is the Fracture Case worth opening?
On average one Fracture Case returns about $1.15 in Steam market value against roughly $3.15 for the case plus a key, about 37% back. Over many opens you should expect to lose money; open it for fun in the simulator first.
What is the best item in the Fracture Case?
The top Covert skin is Desert Eagle | Printstream, followed by AK-47 | Legion of Anubis. The rarest drops are the Rare Special Items: Nomad Knife, Paracord Knife, Skeleton Knife, Survival Knife.
Is this Fracture Case simulator free?
Yes. The simulator is free, needs no account and never uses real money or awards real items. It uses the real Fracture Case item pool and Valve's published odds so you can see how opening it really plays out.
Simulate related cases
Ready for real cases?
When the demo is not enough, open real CS2 cases on CaseBattles.gg with provably fair results you can verify, or take on other players in case battles. 18+ only, play responsibly.