About the Talon Knife | Fade
Talon Knife | Fade is a Rare Special Item knife that drops from 2 of the 42 CS2 weapon cases: Horizon Case and Danger Zone Case.
The earliest of them is the Horizon Case, released on 2 August 2018.
Each open has a 0.0050% chance (about 1 in 20,000) of pulling it, as one of 52 Rare Special Item finishes in every one of those cases. One in ten of those drops is StatTrak.
It sits in tier 5 of 5 (Mil-Spec to Rare Special) and ranks #3 of 69 finishes in the Horizon Case by top-wear Steam price.
Its Steam price runs from $1,086.75 to $1,131.74 across wears, against $4.10 to open the Danger Zone Case (case plus $2.50 key), so every wear is worth more than one open.
Cases that drop the Talon Knife | Fade
Chance per open = Valve's Rare Special Item odds divided by the number of Rare Special Item finishes in that case. StatTrak versions drop 10% of the time. Open any of these free in the simulator: demo, nothing won. 18+.
| Case | Chance per open | About 1 in | StatTrak | Cost / open | Released |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horizon Case1 of 52 Rare Special Item | 0.0050% | 20,000 | 0.00050% | $4.64 | 2 August 2018 |
| Danger Zone Case1 of 52 Rare Special Item | 0.0050% | 20,000 | 0.00050% | $4.10 | 6 December 2018 |
Talon Knife | Fade wears, float ranges and prices
Steam market 7-day average prices from 2026-10-03. Our item data has no per-skin float cap, so the standard 0.00 to 1.00 scale and the five wear bands are shown. A wear without a price had no recent sales or does not exist for this skin.
| Wear | Float range | Price | StatTrak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 to 0.07 | $1,086.75 | $744.38 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 to 0.15 | $1,131.74 | $998.41 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 to 0.38 | No price | No price |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 to 0.45 | No price | No price |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 to 1.00 | No price | No price |
Talon Knife | Fade FAQ
What are the odds of getting the Talon Knife | Fade?
0.0050% per Horizon Case open (1 in 20,000); 0.0050% per Danger Zone Case open (1 in 20,000). That is Valve's 0.26% Rare Special Item chance split evenly across the finishes in that tier. A StatTrak copy is one tenth of that, 0.00050% at best.
Which CS2 cases drop the Talon Knife | Fade?
Horizon Case and Danger Zone Case. The cheapest to open is the Danger Zone Case at $4.10 including the key.
How much is the Talon Knife | Fade worth?
Factory New $1,086.75, Minimal Wear $1,131.74 on the Steam market (7-day average, 2026-10-03). StatTrak sells for $744.38 to $998.41. Wears without a price had no recent sales or do not exist for this skin.
Other Rare Special Item finishes in the Horizon Case
All CS2 skins by rarity · Open the Danger Zone Case in the simulator (demo, nothing won, 18+) · How CS2 case odds work
This is a free simulator for entertainment: a demo, nothing is won and no money is used. Odds are Valve's published odds; wear and Doppler phase splits are estimated models, not Valve figures. Item values are indicative Steam market prices. Counter-Strike 2 and its item images are property of Valve Corporation. CaseBattles is not affiliated with or endorsed by Valve. 18+ only. Responsible gaming.