About the XM1014 | Black Tie
XM1014 | Black Tie is a Restricted skin that drops from one of the 42 CS2 weapon cases, the Chroma 3 Case.
Valve released the Chroma 3 Case on 27 April 2016.
Each open has a 3.1960% chance (about 1 in 31) of pulling it, as one of 5 Restricted finishes. One in ten of those drops is StatTrak.
It sits in tier 2 of 5 (Mil-Spec to Rare Special) and ranks #40 of 47 finishes in the Chroma 3 Case by top-wear Steam price.
Its Steam price runs from $1.48 to $4.68 across wears, against $7.33 to open the Chroma 3 Case (case plus $2.50 key), so even its best wear is worth less than one open.
Cases that drop the XM1014 | Black Tie
Chance per open = Valve's Restricted odds divided by the number of Restricted finishes in that case. StatTrak versions drop 10% of the time. Open any of these free in the simulator: demo, nothing won. 18+.
| Case | Chance per open | About 1 in | StatTrak | Cost / open | Released |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chroma 3 Case1 of 5 Restricted | 3.1960% | 31 | 0.31960% | $7.33 | 27 April 2016 |
XM1014 | Black Tie wears, float ranges and prices
Steam market 7-day average prices from 2026-10-03. Our item data has no per-skin float cap, so the standard 0.00 to 1.00 scale and the five wear bands are shown. A wear without a price had no recent sales or does not exist for this skin.
| Wear | Float range | Price | StatTrak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 to 0.07 | $4.68 | $16.77 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 to 0.15 | $2.36 | $5.92 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 to 0.38 | $1.71 | $1.94 |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 to 0.45 | $1.65 | $1.84 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 to 1.00 | $1.48 | $1.65 |
XM1014 | Black Tie FAQ
What are the odds of getting the XM1014 | Black Tie?
3.1960% per Chroma 3 Case open (1 in 31). That is Valve's 15.98% Restricted chance split evenly across the finishes in that tier. A StatTrak copy is one tenth of that, 0.31960% at best.
Which CS2 cases drop the XM1014 | Black Tie?
Only the Chroma 3 Case. The cheapest to open is the Chroma 3 Case at $7.33 including the key.
How much is the XM1014 | Black Tie worth?
Factory New $4.68, Minimal Wear $2.36, Field-Tested $1.71, Well-Worn $1.65, Battle-Scarred $1.48 on the Steam market (7-day average, 2026-10-03). StatTrak sells for $1.65 to $16.77.
Other Restricted finishes in the Chroma 3 Case
All CS2 skins by rarity · Open the Chroma 3 Case in the simulator (demo, nothing won, 18+) · How CS2 case odds work
This is a free simulator for entertainment: a demo, nothing is won and no money is used. Odds are Valve's published odds; wear and Doppler phase splits are estimated models, not Valve figures. Item values are indicative Steam market prices. Counter-Strike 2 and its item images are property of Valve Corporation. CaseBattles is not affiliated with or endorsed by Valve. 18+ only. Responsible gaming.