About the Nova | Graphite
Nova | Graphite is a Restricted skin that drops from one of the 42 CS2 weapon cases, the CS:GO Weapon Case 2.
Valve released the CS:GO Weapon Case 2 on 8 November 2013.
Each open has a 3.9950% chance (about 1 in 25) of pulling it, as one of 4 Restricted finishes. One in ten of those drops is StatTrak.
It sits in tier 2 of 5 (Mil-Spec to Rare Special) and ranks #76 of 77 finishes in the CS:GO Weapon Case 2 by top-wear Steam price.
Its Steam price runs from $10.38 to $14.09 across wears, against $30.79 to open the CS:GO Weapon Case 2 (case plus $2.50 key), so even its best wear is worth less than one open.
Cases that drop the Nova | Graphite
Chance per open = Valve's Restricted odds divided by the number of Restricted finishes in that case. StatTrak versions drop 10% of the time. Open any of these free in the simulator: demo, nothing won. 18+.
| Case | Chance per open | About 1 in | StatTrak | Cost / open | Released |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS:GO Weapon Case 21 of 4 Restricted | 3.9950% | 25 | 0.39950% | $30.79 | 8 November 2013 |
Nova | Graphite wears, float ranges and prices
Steam market 7-day average prices from 2026-10-03. Our item data has no per-skin float cap, so the standard 0.00 to 1.00 scale and the five wear bands are shown. A wear without a price had no recent sales or does not exist for this skin.
| Wear | Float range | Price | StatTrak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 to 0.07 | $10.38 | $18.21 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 to 0.15 | $14.09 | $16.62 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 to 0.38 | No price | No price |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 to 0.45 | No price | No price |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 to 1.00 | No price | No price |
Nova | Graphite FAQ
What are the odds of getting the Nova | Graphite?
3.9950% per CS:GO Weapon Case 2 open (1 in 25). That is Valve's 15.98% Restricted chance split evenly across the finishes in that tier. A StatTrak copy is one tenth of that, 0.39950% at best.
Which CS2 cases drop the Nova | Graphite?
Only the CS:GO Weapon Case 2. The cheapest to open is the CS:GO Weapon Case 2 at $30.79 including the key.
How much is the Nova | Graphite worth?
Factory New $10.38, Minimal Wear $14.09 on the Steam market (7-day average, 2026-10-03). StatTrak sells for $16.62 to $18.21. Wears without a price had no recent sales or do not exist for this skin.
Other Restricted finishes in the CS:GO Weapon Case 2
All CS2 skins by rarity · Open the CS:GO Weapon Case 2 in the simulator (demo, nothing won, 18+) · How CS2 case odds work
This is a free simulator for entertainment: a demo, nothing is won and no money is used. Odds are Valve's published odds; wear and Doppler phase splits are estimated models, not Valve figures. Item values are indicative Steam market prices. Counter-Strike 2 and its item images are property of Valve Corporation. CaseBattles is not affiliated with or endorsed by Valve. 18+ only. Responsible gaming.