About the MP9 | Nexus
MP9 | Nexus is a Mil-Spec skin that drops from one of the 42 CS2 weapon cases, the Fever Case.
Valve released the Fever Case on 31 March 2025.
Each open has a 11.4171% chance (about 1 in 9) of pulling it, as one of 7 Mil-Spec finishes. One in ten of those drops is StatTrak.
It sits in tier 1 of 5 (Mil-Spec to Rare Special) and ranks #42 of 45 finishes in the Fever Case by top-wear Steam price.
Its Steam price runs from $0.10 to $1.09 across wears, against $3.38 to open the Fever Case (case plus $2.50 key), so even its best wear is worth less than one open.
Cases that drop the MP9 | Nexus
Chance per open = Valve's Mil-Spec odds divided by the number of Mil-Spec finishes in that case. StatTrak versions drop 10% of the time. Open any of these free in the simulator: demo, nothing won. 18+.
| Case | Chance per open | About 1 in | StatTrak | Cost / open | Released |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever Case1 of 7 Mil-Spec | 11.4171% | 9 | 1.14171% | $3.38 | 31 March 2025 |
MP9 | Nexus wears, float ranges and prices
Steam market 7-day average prices from 2026-10-03. Our item data has no per-skin float cap, so the standard 0.00 to 1.00 scale and the five wear bands are shown. A wear without a price had no recent sales or does not exist for this skin.
| Wear | Float range | Price | StatTrak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 to 0.07 | $1.09 | $2.40 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 to 0.15 | $0.23 | $0.46 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 to 0.38 | $0.12 | $0.16 |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 to 0.45 | $0.10 | $0.11 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 to 1.00 | $0.10 | $0.10 |
MP9 | Nexus FAQ
What are the odds of getting the MP9 | Nexus?
11.4171% per Fever Case open (1 in 9). That is Valve's 79.92% Mil-Spec chance split evenly across the finishes in that tier. A StatTrak copy is one tenth of that, 1.14171% at best.
Which CS2 cases drop the MP9 | Nexus?
Only the Fever Case. The cheapest to open is the Fever Case at $3.38 including the key.
How much is the MP9 | Nexus worth?
Factory New $1.09, Minimal Wear $0.23, Field-Tested $0.12, Well-Worn $0.10, Battle-Scarred $0.10 on the Steam market (7-day average, 2026-10-03). StatTrak sells for $0.10 to $2.40.
Other Mil-Spec finishes in the Fever Case
All CS2 skins by rarity · Open the Fever Case in the simulator (demo, nothing won, 18+) · How CS2 case odds work
This is a free simulator for entertainment: a demo, nothing is won and no money is used. Odds are Valve's published odds; wear and Doppler phase splits are estimated models, not Valve figures. Item values are indicative Steam market prices. Counter-Strike 2 and its item images are property of Valve Corporation. CaseBattles is not affiliated with or endorsed by Valve. 18+ only. Responsible gaming.