About the MAC-10 | Saibā Oni
MAC-10 | Saibā Oni is a Restricted skin that drops from one of the 42 CS2 weapon cases, the Gallery Case.
Valve released the Gallery Case on 2 October 2024.
Each open has a 3.1960% chance (about 1 in 31) of pulling it, as one of 5 Restricted finishes. One in ten of those drops is StatTrak.
It sits in tier 2 of 5 (Mil-Spec to Rare Special) and ranks #23 of 30 finishes in the Gallery Case by top-wear Steam price.
Its Steam price runs from $1.12 to $5.77 across wears, against $3.40 to open the Gallery Case (case plus $2.50 key), so 1 of its 5 priced wears are worth more than one open.
Cases that drop the MAC-10 | Saibā Oni
Chance per open = Valve's Restricted odds divided by the number of Restricted finishes in that case. StatTrak versions drop 10% of the time. Open any of these free in the simulator: demo, nothing won. 18+.
| Case | Chance per open | About 1 in | StatTrak | Cost / open | Released |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallery Case1 of 5 Restricted | 3.1960% | 31 | 0.31960% | $3.40 | 2 October 2024 |
MAC-10 | Saibā Oni wears, float ranges and prices
Steam market 7-day average prices from 2026-10-03. Our item data has no per-skin float cap, so the standard 0.00 to 1.00 scale and the five wear bands are shown. A wear without a price had no recent sales or does not exist for this skin.
| Wear | Float range | Price | StatTrak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 to 0.07 | $5.77 | $11.84 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 to 0.15 | $3.13 | $5.80 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 to 0.38 | $1.23 | $2.80 |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 to 0.45 | $1.28 | $3.00 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 to 1.00 | $1.12 | $2.68 |
MAC-10 | Saibā Oni FAQ
What are the odds of getting the MAC-10 | Saibā Oni?
3.1960% per Gallery Case open (1 in 31). That is Valve's 15.98% Restricted chance split evenly across the finishes in that tier. A StatTrak copy is one tenth of that, 0.31960% at best.
Which CS2 cases drop the MAC-10 | Saibā Oni?
Only the Gallery Case. The cheapest to open is the Gallery Case at $3.40 including the key.
How much is the MAC-10 | Saibā Oni worth?
Factory New $5.77, Minimal Wear $3.13, Field-Tested $1.23, Well-Worn $1.28, Battle-Scarred $1.12 on the Steam market (7-day average, 2026-10-03). StatTrak sells for $2.68 to $11.84.
Other Restricted finishes in the Gallery Case
All CS2 skins by rarity · Open the Gallery Case in the simulator (demo, nothing won, 18+) · How CS2 case odds work
This is a free simulator for entertainment: a demo, nothing is won and no money is used. Odds are Valve's published odds; wear and Doppler phase splits are estimated models, not Valve figures. Item values are indicative Steam market prices. Counter-Strike 2 and its item images are property of Valve Corporation. CaseBattles is not affiliated with or endorsed by Valve. 18+ only. Responsible gaming.