About the M4A4 | Neo-Noir
M4A4 | Neo-Noir is a Covert skin that drops from one of the 42 CS2 weapon cases, the Clutch Case.
Valve released the Clutch Case on 15 February 2018.
Each open has a 0.3200% chance (about 1 in 313) of pulling it, as one of 2 Covert finishes. One in ten of those drops is StatTrak.
It sits in tier 4 of 5 (Mil-Spec to Rare Special) and ranks #25 of 41 finishes in the Clutch Case by top-wear Steam price.
Its Steam price runs from $31.62 to $127.02 across wears, against $3.21 to open the Clutch Case (case plus $2.50 key), so every wear is worth more than one open.
Cases that drop the M4A4 | Neo-Noir
Chance per open = Valve's Covert odds divided by the number of Covert finishes in that case. StatTrak versions drop 10% of the time. Open any of these free in the simulator: demo, nothing won. 18+.
| Case | Chance per open | About 1 in | StatTrak | Cost / open | Released |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clutch Case1 of 2 Covert | 0.3200% | 313 | 0.03200% | $3.21 | 15 February 2018 |
M4A4 | Neo-Noir wears, float ranges and prices
Steam market 7-day average prices from 2026-10-03. Our item data has no per-skin float cap, so the standard 0.00 to 1.00 scale and the five wear bands are shown. A wear without a price had no recent sales or does not exist for this skin.
| Wear | Float range | Price | StatTrak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 to 0.07 | $127.02 | $180.97 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 to 0.15 | $62.66 | $76.31 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 to 0.38 | $39.03 | $43.01 |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 to 0.45 | $35.17 | $36.05 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 to 1.00 | $31.62 | $31.23 |
M4A4 | Neo-Noir FAQ
What are the odds of getting the M4A4 | Neo-Noir?
0.3200% per Clutch Case open (1 in 313). That is Valve's 0.64% Covert chance split evenly across the finishes in that tier. A StatTrak copy is one tenth of that, 0.03200% at best.
Which CS2 cases drop the M4A4 | Neo-Noir?
Only the Clutch Case. The cheapest to open is the Clutch Case at $3.21 including the key.
How much is the M4A4 | Neo-Noir worth?
Factory New $127.02, Minimal Wear $62.66, Field-Tested $39.03, Well-Worn $35.17, Battle-Scarred $31.62 on the Steam market (7-day average, 2026-10-03). StatTrak sells for $31.23 to $180.97.
Other Covert finishes in the Clutch Case
All CS2 skins by rarity · Open the Clutch Case in the simulator (demo, nothing won, 18+) · How CS2 case odds work
This is a free simulator for entertainment: a demo, nothing is won and no money is used. Odds are Valve's published odds; wear and Doppler phase splits are estimated models, not Valve figures. Item values are indicative Steam market prices. Counter-Strike 2 and its item images are property of Valve Corporation. CaseBattles is not affiliated with or endorsed by Valve. 18+ only. Responsible gaming.