About the M4A4 | Hellfire
M4A4 | Hellfire is a Classified skin that drops from one of the 42 CS2 weapon cases, the Operation Hydra Case.
Valve released the Operation Hydra Case on 23 May 2017.
Each open has a 1.0667% chance (about 1 in 94) of pulling it, as one of 3 Classified finishes. One in ten of those drops is StatTrak.
It sits in tier 3 of 5 (Mil-Spec to Rare Special) and ranks #27 of 41 finishes in the Operation Hydra Case by top-wear Steam price.
Its Steam price runs from $76.28 to $355.82 across wears, against $40.86 to open the Operation Hydra Case (case plus $2.50 key), so every wear is worth more than one open.
Cases that drop the M4A4 | Hellfire
Chance per open = Valve's Classified odds divided by the number of Classified finishes in that case. StatTrak versions drop 10% of the time. Open any of these free in the simulator: demo, nothing won. 18+.
| Case | Chance per open | About 1 in | StatTrak | Cost / open | Released |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operation Hydra Case1 of 3 Classified | 1.0667% | 94 | 0.10667% | $40.86 | 23 May 2017 |
M4A4 | Hellfire wears, float ranges and prices
Steam market 7-day average prices from 2026-10-03. Our item data has no per-skin float cap, so the standard 0.00 to 1.00 scale and the five wear bands are shown. A wear without a price had no recent sales or does not exist for this skin.
| Wear | Float range | Price | StatTrak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 to 0.07 | $355.82 | $284.63 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 to 0.15 | $198.38 | $235.97 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 to 0.38 | $134.96 | $131.39 |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 to 0.45 | $84.94 | $110.73 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 to 1.00 | $76.28 | $103.24 |
M4A4 | Hellfire FAQ
What are the odds of getting the M4A4 | Hellfire?
1.0667% per Operation Hydra Case open (1 in 94). That is Valve's 3.20% Classified chance split evenly across the finishes in that tier. A StatTrak copy is one tenth of that, 0.10667% at best.
Which CS2 cases drop the M4A4 | Hellfire?
Only the Operation Hydra Case. The cheapest to open is the Operation Hydra Case at $40.86 including the key.
How much is the M4A4 | Hellfire worth?
Factory New $355.82, Minimal Wear $198.38, Field-Tested $134.96, Well-Worn $84.94, Battle-Scarred $76.28 on the Steam market (7-day average, 2026-10-03). StatTrak sells for $103.24 to $284.63.
Other Classified finishes in the Operation Hydra Case
All CS2 skins by rarity · Open the Operation Hydra Case in the simulator (demo, nothing won, 18+) · How CS2 case odds work
This is a free simulator for entertainment: a demo, nothing is won and no money is used. Odds are Valve's published odds; wear and Doppler phase splits are estimated models, not Valve figures. Item values are indicative Steam market prices. Counter-Strike 2 and its item images are property of Valve Corporation. CaseBattles is not affiliated with or endorsed by Valve. 18+ only. Responsible gaming.