About the M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire is a Covert skin that drops from one of the 42 CS2 weapon cases, the Chroma 3 Case.
Valve released the Chroma 3 Case on 27 April 2016.
Each open has a 0.3200% chance (about 1 in 313) of pulling it, as one of 2 Covert finishes. One in ten of those drops is StatTrak.
It sits in tier 4 of 5 (Mil-Spec to Rare Special) and ranks #19 of 47 finishes in the Chroma 3 Case by top-wear Steam price.
Its Steam price runs from $146.80 to $359.18 across wears, against $7.33 to open the Chroma 3 Case (case plus $2.50 key), so every wear is worth more than one open.
Cases that drop the M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire
Chance per open = Valve's Covert odds divided by the number of Covert finishes in that case. StatTrak versions drop 10% of the time. Open any of these free in the simulator: demo, nothing won. 18+.
| Case | Chance per open | About 1 in | StatTrak | Cost / open | Released |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chroma 3 Case1 of 2 Covert | 0.3200% | 313 | 0.03200% | $7.33 | 27 April 2016 |
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire wears, float ranges and prices
Steam market 7-day average prices from 2026-10-03. Our item data has no per-skin float cap, so the standard 0.00 to 1.00 scale and the five wear bands are shown. A wear without a price had no recent sales or does not exist for this skin.
| Wear | Float range | Price | StatTrak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 to 0.07 | $359.18 | $400.00 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 to 0.15 | $173.09 | $203.86 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 to 0.38 | $153.23 | $152.02 |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 to 0.45 | $148.21 | $141.07 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 to 1.00 | $146.80 | $154.12 |
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire FAQ
What are the odds of getting the M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire?
0.3200% per Chroma 3 Case open (1 in 313). That is Valve's 0.64% Covert chance split evenly across the finishes in that tier. A StatTrak copy is one tenth of that, 0.03200% at best.
Which CS2 cases drop the M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire?
Only the Chroma 3 Case. The cheapest to open is the Chroma 3 Case at $7.33 including the key.
How much is the M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire worth?
Factory New $359.18, Minimal Wear $173.09, Field-Tested $153.23, Well-Worn $148.21, Battle-Scarred $146.80 on the Steam market (7-day average, 2026-10-03). StatTrak sells for $141.07 to $400.00.
Other Covert finishes in the Chroma 3 Case
All CS2 skins by rarity · Open the Chroma 3 Case in the simulator (demo, nothing won, 18+) · How CS2 case odds work
This is a free simulator for entertainment: a demo, nothing is won and no money is used. Odds are Valve's published odds; wear and Doppler phase splits are estimated models, not Valve figures. Item values are indicative Steam market prices. Counter-Strike 2 and its item images are property of Valve Corporation. CaseBattles is not affiliated with or endorsed by Valve. 18+ only. Responsible gaming.