About the M4A1-S | Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus is a Classified skin that drops from one of the 42 CS2 weapon cases, the Kilowatt Case.
Valve released the Kilowatt Case on 6 February 2024.
Each open has a 1.0667% chance (about 1 in 94) of pulling it, as one of 3 Classified finishes. One in ten of those drops is StatTrak.
It sits in tier 3 of 5 (Mil-Spec to Rare Special) and ranks #17 of 30 finishes in the Kilowatt Case by top-wear Steam price.
Its Steam price runs from $4.94 to $15.07 across wears, against $2.68 to open the Kilowatt Case (case plus $2.50 key), so every wear is worth more than one open.
Cases that drop the M4A1-S | Black Lotus
Chance per open = Valve's Classified odds divided by the number of Classified finishes in that case. StatTrak versions drop 10% of the time. Open any of these free in the simulator: demo, nothing won. 18+.
| Case | Chance per open | About 1 in | StatTrak | Cost / open | Released |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilowatt Case1 of 3 Classified | 1.0667% | 94 | 0.10667% | $2.68 | 6 February 2024 |
M4A1-S | Black Lotus wears, float ranges and prices
Steam market 7-day average prices from 2026-10-03. Our item data has no per-skin float cap, so the standard 0.00 to 1.00 scale and the five wear bands are shown. A wear without a price had no recent sales or does not exist for this skin.
| Wear | Float range | Price | StatTrak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.00 to 0.07 | $15.07 | $39.64 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.07 to 0.15 | $8.02 | $21.97 |
| Field-Tested | 0.15 to 0.38 | $4.94 | $12.42 |
| Well-Worn | 0.38 to 0.45 | $5.26 | $12.80 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.45 to 1.00 | $5.09 | $12.30 |
M4A1-S | Black Lotus FAQ
What are the odds of getting the M4A1-S | Black Lotus?
1.0667% per Kilowatt Case open (1 in 94). That is Valve's 3.20% Classified chance split evenly across the finishes in that tier. A StatTrak copy is one tenth of that, 0.10667% at best.
Which CS2 cases drop the M4A1-S | Black Lotus?
Only the Kilowatt Case. The cheapest to open is the Kilowatt Case at $2.68 including the key.
How much is the M4A1-S | Black Lotus worth?
Factory New $15.07, Minimal Wear $8.02, Field-Tested $4.94, Well-Worn $5.26, Battle-Scarred $5.09 on the Steam market (7-day average, 2026-10-03). StatTrak sells for $12.30 to $39.64.
Other Classified finishes in the Kilowatt Case
All CS2 skins by rarity · Open the Kilowatt Case in the simulator (demo, nothing won, 18+) · How CS2 case odds work
This is a free simulator for entertainment: a demo, nothing is won and no money is used. Odds are Valve's published odds; wear and Doppler phase splits are estimated models, not Valve figures. Item values are indicative Steam market prices. Counter-Strike 2 and its item images are property of Valve Corporation. CaseBattles is not affiliated with or endorsed by Valve. 18+ only. Responsible gaming.