Substance Speedrun
Substance Speedrun Case
Open the Substance Speedrun case on CaseBattles.gg. Below are the full contents with exact, provably-fair drop rates, current skin values, and the case's expected value — no hidden odds. You can open it solo or add it to a case battle.
Substance Speedrun Case Odds & Drop Rates
| Item | Wear | Drop chance | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor | FN | 5.00% | 977.22 |
| ★ Skeleton Knife | Fade | FN | 2.00% | 875.47 |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot | FT | 3.00% | 596.55 |
| Nova | Bloomstick | FN | 10.00% | 138.03 |
| P90 | Baroque Red | WW | 15.00% | 108.78 |
| Glock-18 | Night | FN | 10.00% | 70.19 |
| AWP | Electric Hive | MW | 10.00% | 51.63 |
| Dual Berettas | Marina | FN | 15.00% | 36.20 |
| Nova | Moon in Libra | MW | 30.00% | 8.63 |
Is the Substance Speedrun Case Worth Opening?
The Substance Speedrun case has an expected value of about 134.59 gems against its 148.05 gem open price. That figure is the long-run average — individual openings are high-variance, which is the whole point. The top prize is M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (FN) at roughly 977.22 gems. Every drop is provably fair and every rate on this page is the real rate used by the roll.
Open the Substance Speedrun Case in a Battle
Prefer competition? Add the Substance Speedrun case to a case battle and open the same case at the same time as other players — the highest total value takes the entire pot. You can go 1v1, 2v2, 3v3, or free-for-all.
Substance Speedrun Case FAQ
What is the best item in the Substance Speedrun case?
The top prize is M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (FN), worth about 977.22 gems, with a 5.00% drop chance.
What are the drop rates for the Substance Speedrun case?
Every item's exact drop rate is published in the table above. The combined chance of unboxing a knife or glove is 5.00%.
Is the Substance Speedrun case worth opening?
Its expected value is about 134.59 gems against a 148.05 gem open price. Like every case it is high-variance — the published odds let you decide for yourself.
Can I open the Substance Speedrun case in a case battle?
Yes. Add the Substance Speedrun case to a case battle and open it head-to-head against other players — the highest total value wins the whole pot.
Related: Best CS2 cases to open · CS2 case opening · Provably fair